Meteor Activity Outlook for October 27-November 2, 2018

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This is Michel Deconinck’s impression of the 2018 Perseids as seen from Artignosc Provence, France on the night of August 12/13.

During this period the moon will reach its last quarter phase on Wednesday October 31st. At this time the moon will be located 90 degrees west of the sun and will rise between 2200 and 2300 local daylight saving time (DST). This weekend the bright waning gibbous moon will rise during the early evening hours and will spoil the remainder of the night by obscuring all but the brighter meteors. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 3 for those viewing from the northern hemisphere and 2 for those located south of the equator. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 14 as seen from mid-northern latitudes and 9 from the southern tropics. Rates are reduced during this period due to moonlight. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and experience in watching meteor activity. Note that the hourly rates listed below are estimates as viewed from dark sky sites away from urban light sources. Observers viewing from urban areas will see less activity as only the brighter meteors will be visible from such locations.

The radiant (the area of the sky where meteors appear to shoot from) positions and rates listed below are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning October 27/28. These positions do not change greatly day to day so the listed coordinates may be used during this entire period. Most star atlases (available at science stores and planetariums) will provide maps with grid lines of the celestial coordinates so that you may find out exactly where these positions are located in the sky. A planisphere or computer planetarium program is also useful in showing the sky at any time of night on any date of the year. Activity from each radiant is best seen when it is positioned highest in the sky, either due north or south along the meridian, depending on your latitude. It must be remembered that meteor activity is rarely seen at the radiant position. Rather they shoot outwards from the radiant so it is best to center your field of view so that the radiant lies at the edge and not the center. Viewing there will allow you to easily trace the path of each meteor back to the radiant (if it is a shower member) or in another direction if it is a sporadic. Meteor activity is not seen from radiants that are located far below the horizon. The positions below are listed in a west to east manner in order of right ascension (celestial longitude). The positions listed first are located further west therefore are accessible earlier in the night while those listed further down the list rise later in the night.

Radiant Positions at 9pm LST

Radiant Positions at 21:00
Local Daylight Saving Time

Radiant Positions at 01:00 Local Daylight Saving Time

Radiant Positions at 01:00
Local Daylight Saving Time

Radiant Positions at 5am LDT

Radiant Positions at 5:00
Local Daylight Saving Time

These sources of meteoric activity are expected to be active this week.

Details on each source will be continued next week when the moon will not be such a problem.

SHOWER DATE OF MAXIMUM ACTIVITY CELESTIAL POSITION ENTRY VELOCITY CULMINATION HOURLY RATE CLASS
RA (RA in Deg.) DEC Km/Sec Local Daylight Saving Time North-South
Andromedids (AND) Nov 05 00:50 (013) +25 18 00:00 <1 – <1 III
Northern Taurids (NTA) Nov 02 02:56 (044) +19 28 02:00 2 – 1 II
Southern Taurids (STA) Oct 29 03:08 (047) +13 27 02:00 2 – 2 II
omicron Eridanids (OER) Nov 04 03:10 (047) -03 29 02:00 <1 – <1 IV
chi Taurids (CTA) Nov 03 03:46 (056) +25 41 03:00 <1 – <1 IV
Orionids (ORI) Oct 22 06:48 (102) +15 67 05:00 3 – 3 I
nu Eridanids (NUE) Sep 24 07:18 (109) +13 67 06:00 <1 – <1 IV
Southern lambda Draconids (SLD) Nov 03 10:18 (155) +70 49 09:00 <1 – <1 IV
lambda Ursae Majorids (LUM) Oct 28 10:29 (157) +48 62 09:00 <1 – <1 IV
Leonis Minorids (LMI) Oct 22 11:04 (166) +34 62 10:00 1 – <1 II

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